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Premia 观点洞察
Premia 观点洞察
分享投资见解、洞察行业热点、探讨学术研究

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China – the first post-pandemic, “normalized economy”
insightChina – the first post-pandemic, “normalized economy”

The Chinese economy continues to normalize across the board at an impressive rate, leading to the strong likelihood of it beating the current Bloomberg consensus GDP estimate growth rate of around 2% for 2020.

Oct 06, 2020

Rethinking China and Emerging Markets
insightRethinking China and Emerging Markets

The COVID-19 pandemic could accelerate new thinking about Emerging Markets in asset allocations.

Sep 23, 2020

Quick recovery on China corporate earnings
insightQuick recovery on China corporate earnings

China economy recovered faster than the rest of the world from the pandemic as shown by various economic indicators ranging from official PMI, GDP number, steel output, excavator sales, to traffic data. China’s solid macro recovery stands out from the rest of the major economies which either remain in a lock-down mode or simply begin to resume economic activities. That explains Chinese listed companies outperformed in terms of earnings and stock price performance.

Sep 10, 2020

US Dollar - an Untrustworthy Rebound
insightUS Dollar - an Untrustworthy Rebound

An overdue technical rebound in the US Dollar – which started a week ago – may give investors an opportunity to diversify their currency holdings away from the Greenback. What is emerging could well turn out to be a counter-trend rally in a bigger, multi-year Dollar decline.

Sep 09, 2020

中国股市反弹——您的投资回报跟上了吗?
insight中国股市反弹——您的投资回报跟上了吗?

在经历今年首季度的急剧抛售后,全球股市在近几个月表现亮眼。这个反弹看似是典型的非理性“大爆发”,因为全球主要经济体正在或即将进入衰退期,且全球新冠肺炎疫情仍未见缓和之势;然而,从另一方面而言,这具前瞻性的市场走势,可能反映出投资者已走出疫情阴霾,整装以待争相捕捉股市V型反弹所带来的投资机遇。 中国A股市场既拥有稳健的基本面,又具相当吸引人的估值。因应全球股市下跌,投资者可考虑稳步增持中国A股。本篇文章中,我们将简述当前市场动态与如何精准捕捉中国A股反弹的增长机会。

Sep 04, 2020

China New Economy and Tech – thriving amidst trade war
insightChina New Economy and Tech – thriving amidst trade war

CSI 300 outperforms S&P 500, Chinese tech outruns Nasdaq 100. How has China’s new economy sectors including its recently launched “Nasdaq” – the STAR board (Shanghai Stock Exchange’s Science and Technology Innovation Board) – outperformed global indices despite being at the center of a trade-tech war with the United States?

Sep 01, 2020

Messages from the China-US government bond yield spread
insightMessages from the China-US government bond yield spread

Highest recorded yield spread between the China 10Y Government Bond and the 10Y UST. The yield spread between the China 10-year government bond over the 10-year US Treasury recently hit its widest ever recorded level.

Aug 25, 2020

China and HK equities – in a valuation-quality sweet spot
insightChina and HK equities – in a valuation-quality sweet spot

In the midst of a US tech bubble, Chinese and Hong Kong equities have emerged in the sweet spot between valuations, profitability and balance sheet strength.

Aug 18, 2020

Buying the recovery not the pandemic
insightBuying the recovery not the pandemic

Are US indices rallying because of COVID-19? The most common narrative is that “US stocks have been rising despite the pandemic.” Perhaps a more accurate explanation is “US stocks have been rising because of the pandemic”.

Aug 12, 2020

Premia 图说

Taiwan equities going from strength to strength
  • 赖子健

    赖子健 , CFA

    CFA

Taiwan's economic outlook is experiencing a significant uplift, driven by the burgeoning AI revolution and a recently cemented trade pact with the US. Economic growth forecasts for this year have been upgraded to an impressive 7.7%, a substantial increase from the 3.5% projection made in November. This revised outlook anticipates Taiwan's GDP reaching an unprecedented USD1tn, marking a historic achievement for the island. Fueling this robust growth is an expected surge in exports, now projected to rise by 22.2% in 2026, a sharp acceleration from the earlier 6.3% forecast. These positive revisions reflect a broad consensus among financial institutions, with Bank of America nearly doubling its growth prediction due to “relentless global demand“ for Taiwan's advanced tech hardware, including critical AI chips and servers. The enhanced capital expenditures by cloud providers, exceeding initial expectations, further underscore the formidable strength of AI-related infrastructure. The strategic trade agreement finalized between the US and Taiwan earlier this month is a pivotal catalyst, set to reduce average tariff rates on Taiwanese exports to the US from nearly 36% to ~12%. This landmark deal, hailed as a shift from “defense to offense“ by Taiwan Premier Cho Jung-tai, will cement Taiwan’s position as an economic powerhouse. The tangible impact of these developments is already visible in Taiwan's equities market, which has seen remarkable performance. The stock market has advanced by at least 25% for three consecutive years, with a further ~15% gain to a new record in 2026 alone. For institutional investors looking to capitalize on this strong structural uptrend in Taiwan equities, the Premia FTSE TWSE Taiwan 50 ETF presents an optimal and strategic investment vehicle to capture this solid growth story.

Feb 23, 2026

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