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Premia 观点洞察
Premia 观点洞察
分享投资见解、洞察行业热点、探讨学术研究

精选观点 & Webinar

Rethinking China and Emerging Markets
insightRethinking China and Emerging Markets

The COVID-19 pandemic could accelerate new thinking about Emerging Markets in asset allocations.

Sep 23, 2020

Quick recovery on China corporate earnings
insightQuick recovery on China corporate earnings

China economy recovered faster than the rest of the world from the pandemic as shown by various economic indicators ranging from official PMI, GDP number, steel output, excavator sales, to traffic data. China’s solid macro recovery stands out from the rest of the major economies which either remain in a lock-down mode or simply begin to resume economic activities. That explains Chinese listed companies outperformed in terms of earnings and stock price performance.

Sep 10, 2020

US Dollar - an Untrustworthy Rebound
insightUS Dollar - an Untrustworthy Rebound

An overdue technical rebound in the US Dollar – which started a week ago – may give investors an opportunity to diversify their currency holdings away from the Greenback. What is emerging could well turn out to be a counter-trend rally in a bigger, multi-year Dollar decline.

Sep 09, 2020

中国股市反弹——您的投资回报跟上了吗?
insight中国股市反弹——您的投资回报跟上了吗?

在经历今年首季度的急剧抛售后,全球股市在近几个月表现亮眼。这个反弹看似是典型的非理性“大爆发”,因为全球主要经济体正在或即将进入衰退期,且全球新冠肺炎疫情仍未见缓和之势;然而,从另一方面而言,这具前瞻性的市场走势,可能反映出投资者已走出疫情阴霾,整装以待争相捕捉股市V型反弹所带来的投资机遇。 中国A股市场既拥有稳健的基本面,又具相当吸引人的估值。因应全球股市下跌,投资者可考虑稳步增持中国A股。本篇文章中,我们将简述当前市场动态与如何精准捕捉中国A股反弹的增长机会。

Sep 04, 2020

China New Economy and Tech – thriving amidst trade war
insightChina New Economy and Tech – thriving amidst trade war

CSI 300 outperforms S&P 500, Chinese tech outruns Nasdaq 100. How has China’s new economy sectors including its recently launched “Nasdaq” – the STAR board (Shanghai Stock Exchange’s Science and Technology Innovation Board) – outperformed global indices despite being at the center of a trade-tech war with the United States?

Sep 01, 2020

Messages from the China-US government bond yield spread
insightMessages from the China-US government bond yield spread

Highest recorded yield spread between the China 10Y Government Bond and the 10Y UST. The yield spread between the China 10-year government bond over the 10-year US Treasury recently hit its widest ever recorded level.

Aug 25, 2020

China and HK equities – in a valuation-quality sweet spot
insightChina and HK equities – in a valuation-quality sweet spot

In the midst of a US tech bubble, Chinese and Hong Kong equities have emerged in the sweet spot between valuations, profitability and balance sheet strength.

Aug 18, 2020

Buying the recovery not the pandemic
insightBuying the recovery not the pandemic

Are US indices rallying because of COVID-19? The most common narrative is that “US stocks have been rising despite the pandemic.” Perhaps a more accurate explanation is “US stocks have been rising because of the pandemic”.

Aug 12, 2020

China A Factor Review: 2020 Q2 & H1
insightChina A Factor Review: 2020 Q2 & H1

After the fall in Q1, global equities recovered sharply in Q2 as the COVID fear eases and stimulus packages kick in around the world. YTD, China is the best performing emerging market, and the broad CSI 300 index gained 14% in the second quarter. From factor investing perspective, we continue to see the dispersion of a two-speed-economy despite an overall beta pick up. Quality growth new economy stocks continue to be the winner.

Aug 11, 2020

US Dollar – the Long Game
insightUS Dollar – the Long Game

Back to the future. Clues to US policy makers’ long game for the Dollar can be found in the long-term historical relationship between money supply growth, the inflation rate, and nominal GDP growth. Conclusion upfront: We are likely to see a long cycle of aggressive US monetary expansion ahead – to depreciate the Dollar, revive inflation, and boost nominal GDP growth.

Aug 03, 2020

Premia 图说

Earnings momentum and growth expectations driving investor flows in China
  • 赖子健

    赖子健 , CFA

    CFA

China A-share market has become increasingly polarized, as earnings momentum and growth expectations drove investor flows. While the Information Technology sector has surged 31.9% year-to-date, Consumer Staples have declined 13.8%, illustrating a clear market preference for growth-oriented industries over traditional defensives. The strength of the technology sector is often attributed to the global enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence and semiconductor demand, alongside Beijing’s continued support for domestic innovation and import substitution in critical technologies. However, the rally is far from being purely sentiment driven. Corporate fundamentals have provided substantial support. In the first quarter of 2026, Information Technology companies delivered earnings growth of 68.0% year-on-year, second only to Materials at 74.8%. In contrast, Consumer Staples reported a 15.4% earnings decline, reflecting weaker operating momentum. The earnings divergence has also been reinforced by analyst revisions, with full-year profit estimates for Information Technology revised upward by 7.4%, while Consumer Staples experienced a sharp 19.3% downgrade. Looking ahead, earnings growth is expected to remain concentrated in a handful of high-growth sectors. Consensus forecasts point to full-year 2026 earnings growth of 72.0% for Materials, 70.6% for Information Technology, 33.7% for Industrials, and 30.8% for Healthcare, while Utilities, Financials and Consumer Staples are expected to lag. For investors seeking exposure to China’s structural growth themes, the Premia China STAR50 ETF and Premia China New Economy ETF offer targeted access to innovative and high-growth segments of the market, both of which have outperformed the broader A-share market year-to-date.

Jun 15, 2026

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