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Premia 观点洞察

Premia 观点洞察

分享投资见解、洞察行业热点、探讨学术研究

精选观点 & Webinar

Why Chinese market is likely to continue outperformance
insightWhy Chinese market is likely to continue outperformance

The latest economic data confirms the upward trajectory of Chinese growth, putting China on track to be the only major economy to register growth for the full year 2020. And it highlights the attractiveness of China’s asset markets and supports the case for continued outperformance against other major markets.

Oct 27, 2020

What China’s “import ban” on Aussie coal says about the rapidly changing energy landscape
insightWhat China’s “import ban” on Aussie coal says about the rapidly changing energy landscape

Two separate news items last week focused our attention on the gap in understanding about the rapidly changing energy landscape in China.

Oct 19, 2020

常见主题——新冠疫情、中美角力、科技行业反弹及大趋势等
webinar常见主题——新冠疫情、中美角力、科技行业反弹及大趋势等

自新冠疫情爆发以来,我们观察到许多Premia ETF的成分股为风口下的受益者,尽管面临市场动荡、新冠疫情和中美关系恶化,这些强势股仍持续带领Premia ETF绩效蒸蒸日上。在本场研讨会中,我们的联合首席投资官赖子健、吕霭华及销售副总裁罗宁雨将探讨与日常客户对话中,常见的问题及热门主题,特别是我们旗下的Premia中国新经济ETF (3173/9173 HK),此档ETF年初迄今绩效录得40%*,且自今年四月以来资产管理规模暴涨三倍达2.85亿美元,成为香港第四大的中国A股ETF。请点击这里查看讨论的纪录。*截至2020年10月12日

Oct 14, 2020

US Fiscal Explosion and Yield Curve Steepening
insightUS Fiscal Explosion and Yield Curve Steepening

Yield curve steepening – which has been accelerating in recent weeks as the market contemplates a whopper of a stimulus package under a possible Biden White House – is likely to continue regardless of the winner on November 3.

Oct 13, 2020

China – the first post-pandemic, “normalized economy”
insightChina – the first post-pandemic, “normalized economy”

The Chinese economy continues to normalize across the board at an impressive rate, leading to the strong likelihood of it beating the current Bloomberg consensus GDP estimate growth rate of around 2% for 2020.

Oct 05, 2020

Rethinking China and Emerging Markets
insightRethinking China and Emerging Markets

The COVID-19 pandemic could accelerate new thinking about Emerging Markets in asset allocations.

Sep 22, 2020

Quick recovery on China corporate earnings
insightQuick recovery on China corporate earnings

China economy recovered faster than the rest of the world from the pandemic as shown by various economic indicators ranging from official PMI, GDP number, steel output, excavator sales, to traffic data. China’s solid macro recovery stands out from the rest of the major economies which either remain in a lock-down mode or simply begin to resume economic activities. That explains Chinese listed companies outperformed in terms of earnings and stock price performance.

Sep 09, 2020

US Dollar - an Untrustworthy Rebound
insightUS Dollar - an Untrustworthy Rebound

An overdue technical rebound in the US Dollar – which started a week ago – may give investors an opportunity to diversify their currency holdings away from the Greenback. What is emerging could well turn out to be a counter-trend rally in a bigger, multi-year Dollar decline.

Sep 08, 2020

中国股市反弹——您的投资回报跟上了吗?
insight中国股市反弹——您的投资回报跟上了吗?

在经历今年首季度的急剧抛售后,全球股市在近几个月表现亮眼。这个反弹看似是典型的非理性“大爆发”,因为全球主要经济体正在或即将进入衰退期,且全球新冠肺炎疫情仍未见缓和之势;然而,从另一方面而言,这具前瞻性的市场走势,可能反映出投资者已走出疫情阴霾,整装以待争相捕捉股市V型反弹所带来的投资机遇。 中国A股市场既拥有稳健的基本面,又具相当吸引人的估值。因应全球股市下跌,投资者可考虑稳步增持中国A股。本篇文章中,我们将简述当前市场动态与如何精准捕捉中国A股反弹的增长机会。

Sep 03, 2020

Premia 图说

Indonesia's fiscal position is stronger than the recent sell-off implies
  • 吴伟锋

    吴伟锋

Indonesia's fiscal position is stronger than the recent sell-off implies. S&P puts general government debt at 40.9% of GDP in 2025, the third lowest of the 15 markets in the chart, and expects it to hold broadly steady at 40.3% in 2026 and 40.2% in 2027. That compares with a simple Asian average of 52.7% easing to 51.7%, and a major developed-market average of 106.0% rising to 107.6%. Japan, India, Malaysia and China all carry heavier debt loads.What rattled markets was an equity-market issue, not a fiscal one. On 15 October, MSCI proposed moving Indonesia from “Emerging Market“ to “Standalone Market“ status, citing opaque shareholding structures and suspected coordinated trading. Jakarta shares fell 11.6% in a single session, the steepest one-day drop since 1998. Indonesia government international bonds and sukuk, by contrast, barely flinched: five-year CDS widened from roughly 84–88bp in late September to around 100bp by 22 October, with part of that move predating MSCI's announcement and tracking higher US Treasury yields.Nothing has yet changed in Indonesia's index status. MSCI will consult until April 2027 and announce a final decision by 30 June 2027, leaving time for reform. Authorities have already moved, mandating a 15% minimum free float, requiring disclosure of 1% shareholdings and removing highly concentrated stocks from the JCI. Enforcement will decide the outcome, but if these measures stick, the episode could leave Indonesia with a more transparent and investable market than before.The Premia J.P. Morgan Asia Credit Investment Grade USD Bond ETF (3411 / 9411 HK) holds Indonesia as one exposure among many. The ETF spans 124 issuers across Asia ex-Japan, with Indonesia at roughly 15%: about 10% across Indonesian government bonds and sukuk, and 5% across quasi-sovereign and corporate names including Bank Mandiri, Freeport Indonesia, Indofood, Indonesia Asahan Aluminium, Minejesa Power, Pertamina and PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara - high-quality investment-grade issuers. 

Oct 28, 2026

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