精選觀點 & Webinar
越南防疫佳績有目共睹，政府自4月23日以來循序漸進地鬆綁封鎖政策，儘管受全球疫情影響，其宏觀數據仍不如預期。越南政府於上週（5月15日）調整了原先設定的5%經濟增長率目標，根據不同假設情境制訂兩個方案：若主要貿易夥伴的疫情在今年第三季得到控制，則增長目標為4.4%-5.2%；若主要貿易夥伴的疫情遲至第四季才得到控制，則增長目標為3.6%-4.4%。越南目前的情況究竟為何？是時候復甦了嗎？本篇文章我們將針對多方面進行簡要更新。
May 18, 2020
Given the trade tensions and looming risks of de-globalisation, it is likely that China will embark on a different growth path in the aftermath of COVID, and increasingly rely on domestic demand to drive growth. This structural shift holds significant implications for EM Asia. In fact, ASEAN replaced the European Union as China’s biggest trading partner in 1Q20. And as a result of the increased tension and US protectionist measures targeting China, and pressure for MNCs to choose which one they side with under the pretext of protection against production disruptions in China, ASEAN and notably Vietnam are clear winners. But a more nuanced picture is closer to the truth. That is, the shifts in supply chains are more likely to be gradual than dramatic.
May 18, 2020
Yes, possibly. The different approaches taken by the US and China towards managing COVID-19 has likely set the stage for a widening of the growth differential between the two countries. Immediately, the earlier reopening of the Chinese economy means China’s GDP will still show a bit of growth this year. This compares to the controversial, tentative easing of restrictions in the US, only in May. Even if the US gradually normalizes from here, its GDP for will end 2020 with a big hole, which will take three to four years to fill. If China maintains its productivity growth, it should be able to manage a long-term average GDP growth rate of around 5.8% a year. Meanwhile, long-term US GDP growth from 2022 onwards could ease to 1.5% on lower investment/lower productivity growth. Taking into account IMF projected growth rates for 2020 and 2021, China could overtake the US in Dollar terms by 2029.
May 13, 2020
We previously highlighted the gaming industry just after the coronavirus outbreak in Account of an atypical, tech-enabled CNY holiday. With the COVID-19 pandemic raging on globally and people spend more time at home social distancing, the gaming industry has shown greater potential of booming opportunities. The large demographic base of tech-savvy and mobile-first youths born in the digital era provided a strong head start for China, especially in eSports.
May 11, 2020
即使是不玩電動的人，也肯定會知道最近在全球爆紅的switch遊戲動物森友會。事實上，電玩產業的規模非常巨大，市場規模已經超過10億美元，受疫情影響，大家持續保持社交距離且居家時間拉長，電玩也成為大家排憂解悶的重要途徑。截止2019年底，全球遊戲市場收入已經超過1500億美元，而其中45%來自智慧型手機和平板電腦上的手遊。在電玩產業中, 電競在過去十年已經發展成一個重要的行業。全球電競收入估計在今年會超過10億美元，而中國目前佔其中的20%。本期webinar，我們將與大家分享「社交距離」下的虛擬世界：中國的遊戲、電競和直播產業。
May 08, 2020
The COVID-19 pandemic has slowed down productivity and daily lives, stagnated the global supply chain, and affected financial market returns across almost all asset classes. In the first quarter of 2020, all markets around the world reported negative returns with varying degrees. While it seems that all is going the same direction, especially in the equities’ world, the fundamental risk factors were not. Among the fundamental factors we employ for China A shares, some has performed better than others amidst the market drawdown.
Apr 28, 2020
Premia CSI Caixin China New Economy ETF performed well and went up by 3% in a down market. In this article, we would like to share with you the reasons behind the strong performance and the comparison of this strategy with the other mainstream indexes that investors usually track in respect to performance attribution, sector allocation, niche thematic exposure and top drivers.
Apr 24, 2020
疫情衝擊下，中國推出40萬億人民幣的「新基建」計劃振興當前經濟，「#新基建」因而頻頻炒上熱搜榜，點燃市場廣泛關注及業界討論。「新基建」到底為何？「新基建」概念股又該從何下手？
Apr 17, 2020
The market performance of gold in the midst of the COVID-19 crisis has left its fans a little puzzled. From a peak of USD 1703 on 9 March, it retreated to USD 1451 on 16 March - a 15% decline. Should one hold gold now, or rather park in cash tools? Our senior advisor Say Boon Lim demystifies in this piece.
Apr 14, 2020
As global asset prices have slumped on the back of the COVID-19 outbreak, concerns have arisen from supply chain disruptions to about global recession and a liquidity crisis. In this webinar, David Lai and Larry Kwok would discuss the lessons learned from the GFC, share our observations of some pandemic-led trends and implications, and suggest a few related investment ideas.
Apr 13, 2020
Premia 圖說
朱荣熙
Chinese state-owned enterprises (SOEs) may gain traction again amid Chinese government’s commitment to stabilize the capital market, market value management implementation, and attractive yield against the government bonds. Central Huijin, often considered to be the national team, is approved by CSRC to be the new controlling shareholders of 8 small to mid-size financial companies, with an aim to stabilize the capital market and mitigate potential risks. Investors are also anticipating further policy support for the financial sector, expected to be announced at the Lujiazui Forum in Shanghai. This led to the strong capital inflow to nonbanking financials and outperformance of the sector. Moreover, a couple of SOEs have revealed their market value management plans or valuation improvement plans. Local brokers believed this trend will continue and gain momentum in the rest of this year, leading to the revaluation of these SOEs. On the short-term yield, China’s one- and three-year bonds fell to a four-month low due to heavy purchases of state banks. Onshore traders speculated that the PBOC was involved in the purchases. The PBOC’s potential purchases is one of the tools to bring liquidity to the market. As the bond yield drops and liquidity increases, the relatively higher SOE’s dividend yield would look appealing to investors, further supporting their share prices. To capitalize the above trend and diversify from growth related stocks, investors may consider our Premia CSI Caixin China Bedrock Economy ETF, which places a significant emphasis on SOEs, accounting for over 70% of its portfolio, benefiting from the government support and the potential high dividend yield.
Jun 16, 2025
