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Premia 觀點洞察
Premia 觀點洞察
分享投資見解、洞察行業熱點、探討學術研究

精選觀點 & Webinar

Rethinking China and Emerging Markets
insightRethinking China and Emerging Markets

The COVID-19 pandemic could accelerate new thinking about Emerging Markets in asset allocations.

Sep 23, 2020

Quick recovery on China corporate earnings
insightQuick recovery on China corporate earnings

China economy recovered faster than the rest of the world from the pandemic as shown by various economic indicators ranging from official PMI, GDP number, steel output, excavator sales, to traffic data. China’s solid macro recovery stands out from the rest of the major economies which either remain in a lock-down mode or simply begin to resume economic activities. That explains Chinese listed companies outperformed in terms of earnings and stock price performance.

Sep 10, 2020

US Dollar - an Untrustworthy Rebound
insightUS Dollar - an Untrustworthy Rebound

An overdue technical rebound in the US Dollar – which started a week ago – may give investors an opportunity to diversify their currency holdings away from the Greenback. What is emerging could well turn out to be a counter-trend rally in a bigger, multi-year Dollar decline.

Sep 09, 2020

中國股市反彈 – 您的投資回報跟上了嗎?
insight中國股市反彈 – 您的投資回報跟上了嗎?

在經歷今年首季度的急劇拋售後,全球股市在近幾個月表現亮眼。這個反彈看似是典型的非理性「大爆發」,因為全球主要經濟體正在或即將進入衰退期,且全球新冠肺炎疫情仍未見緩和之勢;然而,從另一方面而言,這具前瞻性的市場走勢,可能反映出投資者已走出疫情陰霾,整裝以待爭相捕捉股市V型反彈所帶來的投資機遇。中國A股市場既擁有穩健的基本面,又具相當吸引人的估值。因應全球股市下跌,投資者可考慮穩步增持中國A股。本篇文章中,我們將簡述當前市場動態與如何精準捕捉中國A股反彈的增長機會。

Sep 02, 2020

China New Economy and Tech – thriving amidst trade war
insightChina New Economy and Tech – thriving amidst trade war

CSI 300 outperforms S&P 500, Chinese tech outruns Nasdaq 100. How has China’s new economy sectors including its recently launched “Nasdaq” – the STAR board (Shanghai Stock Exchange’s Science and Technology Innovation Board) – outperformed global indices despite being at the center of a trade-tech war with the United States?

Sep 01, 2020

Messages from the China-US government bond yield spread
insightMessages from the China-US government bond yield spread

Highest recorded yield spread between the China 10Y Government Bond and the 10Y UST. The yield spread between the China 10-year government bond over the 10-year US Treasury recently hit its widest ever recorded level.

Aug 25, 2020

China and HK equities – in a valuation-quality sweet spot
insightChina and HK equities – in a valuation-quality sweet spot

In the midst of a US tech bubble, Chinese and Hong Kong equities have emerged in the sweet spot between valuations, profitability and balance sheet strength.

Aug 18, 2020

Buying the recovery not the pandemic
insightBuying the recovery not the pandemic

Are US indices rallying because of COVID-19? The most common narrative is that “US stocks have been rising despite the pandemic.” Perhaps a more accurate explanation is “US stocks have been rising because of the pandemic”.

Aug 12, 2020

China A Factor Review: 2020 Q2 & H1
insightChina A Factor Review: 2020 Q2 & H1

After the fall in Q1, global equities recovered sharply in Q2 as the COVID fear eases and stimulus packages kick in around the world. YTD, China is the best performing emerging market, and the broad CSI 300 index gained 14% in the second quarter. From factor investing perspective, we continue to see the dispersion of a two-speed-economy despite an overall beta pick up. Quality growth new economy stocks continue to be the winner.

Aug 11, 2020

US Dollar – the Long Game
insightUS Dollar – the Long Game

Back to the future. Clues to US policy makers’ long game for the Dollar can be found in the long-term historical relationship between money supply growth, the inflation rate, and nominal GDP growth. Conclusion upfront: We are likely to see a long cycle of aggressive US monetary expansion ahead – to depreciate the Dollar, revive inflation, and boost nominal GDP growth.

Aug 03, 2020

Premia 圖說

Earnings momentum and growth expectations driving investor flows in China
  • 賴子健

    賴子健 , CFA

    CFA

China A-share market has become increasingly polarized, as earnings momentum and growth expectations drove investor flows. While the Information Technology sector has surged 31.9% year-to-date, Consumer Staples have declined 13.8%, illustrating a clear market preference for growth-oriented industries over traditional defensives. The strength of the technology sector is often attributed to the global enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence and semiconductor demand, alongside Beijing’s continued support for domestic innovation and import substitution in critical technologies. However, the rally is far from being purely sentiment driven. Corporate fundamentals have provided substantial support. In the first quarter of 2026, Information Technology companies delivered earnings growth of 68.0% year-on-year, second only to Materials at 74.8%. In contrast, Consumer Staples reported a 15.4% earnings decline, reflecting weaker operating momentum. The earnings divergence has also been reinforced by analyst revisions, with full-year profit estimates for Information Technology revised upward by 7.4%, while Consumer Staples experienced a sharp 19.3% downgrade. Looking ahead, earnings growth is expected to remain concentrated in a handful of high-growth sectors. Consensus forecasts point to full-year 2026 earnings growth of 72.0% for Materials, 70.6% for Information Technology, 33.7% for Industrials, and 30.8% for Healthcare, while Utilities, Financials and Consumer Staples are expected to lag. For investors seeking exposure to China’s structural growth themes, the Premia China STAR50 ETF and Premia China New Economy ETF offer targeted access to innovative and high-growth segments of the market, both of which have outperformed the broader A-share market year-to-date.

Jun 15, 2026

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