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Premia 觀點洞察

Premia 觀點洞察

分享投資見解、洞察行業熱點、探討學術研究

精選觀點 & Webinar

Why Chinese market is likely to continue outperformance
insightWhy Chinese market is likely to continue outperformance

The latest economic data confirms the upward trajectory of Chinese growth, putting China on track to be the only major economy to register growth for the full year 2020. And it highlights the attractiveness of China’s asset markets and supports the case for continued outperformance against other major markets.

Oct 27, 2020

What China’s “import ban” on Aussie coal says about the rapidly changing energy landscape
insightWhat China’s “import ban” on Aussie coal says about the rapidly changing energy landscape

Two separate news items last week focused our attention on the gap in understanding about the rapidly changing energy landscape in China.

Oct 19, 2020

常見主題——新冠疫情、中美角力、科技行業反彈及大趨勢等
webinar常見主題——新冠疫情、中美角力、科技行業反彈及大趨勢等

自新冠疫情爆發以來,我們觀察到許多Premia ETF的成分股為風口下的受益者,儘管面臨市場動盪、新冠疫情和中美關係惡化,這些強勢股仍持續帶領Premia ETF績效蒸蒸日上。在本場研討會中,我們的聯合首席投資官賴子健、呂靄華及銷售副總裁羅寧雨將探討與日常客戶對話中,常見的問題及熱門主題,特別是我們旗下的Premia中國新經濟ETF(3173/9173 HK),此檔ETF年初迄今績效錄得40%*,且自今年四月以來資產管理規模暴漲三倍達2.85億美元,成為香港第四大的中國A股ETF。 請點擊這裡查看討論的紀錄。*截至2020年10月12日

Oct 14, 2020

US Fiscal Explosion and Yield Curve Steepening
insightUS Fiscal Explosion and Yield Curve Steepening

Yield curve steepening – which has been accelerating in recent weeks as the market contemplates a whopper of a stimulus package under a possible Biden White House – is likely to continue regardless of the winner on November 3.

Oct 13, 2020

中國——全球首個疫情後的「正常化經濟體」
insight中國——全球首個疫情後的「正常化經濟體」

彭博目前預估中國2020年平圴國內生產總值(GDP)增長率僅約2%;然而,中國經濟卻正持續全面加速正常化,提高了打破這個預測的可能性。

Oct 05, 2020

Rethinking China and Emerging Markets
insightRethinking China and Emerging Markets

The COVID-19 pandemic could accelerate new thinking about Emerging Markets in asset allocations.

Sep 22, 2020

Quick recovery on China corporate earnings
insightQuick recovery on China corporate earnings

China economy recovered faster than the rest of the world from the pandemic as shown by various economic indicators ranging from official PMI, GDP number, steel output, excavator sales, to traffic data. China’s solid macro recovery stands out from the rest of the major economies which either remain in a lock-down mode or simply begin to resume economic activities. That explains Chinese listed companies outperformed in terms of earnings and stock price performance.

Sep 09, 2020

US Dollar - an Untrustworthy Rebound
insightUS Dollar - an Untrustworthy Rebound

An overdue technical rebound in the US Dollar – which started a week ago – may give investors an opportunity to diversify their currency holdings away from the Greenback. What is emerging could well turn out to be a counter-trend rally in a bigger, multi-year Dollar decline.

Sep 08, 2020

中國股市反彈 – 您的投資回報跟上了嗎?
insight中國股市反彈 – 您的投資回報跟上了嗎?

在經歷今年首季度的急劇拋售後,全球股市在近幾個月表現亮眼。這個反彈看似是典型的非理性「大爆發」,因為全球主要經濟體正在或即將進入衰退期,且全球新冠肺炎疫情仍未見緩和之勢;然而,從另一方面而言,這具前瞻性的市場走勢,可能反映出投資者已走出疫情陰霾,整裝以待爭相捕捉股市V型反彈所帶來的投資機遇。中國A股市場既擁有穩健的基本面,又具相當吸引人的估值。因應全球股市下跌,投資者可考慮穩步增持中國A股。本篇文章中,我們將簡述當前市場動態與如何精準捕捉中國A股反彈的增長機會。

Sep 01, 2020

Premia 圖說

Indonesia's fiscal position is stronger than the recent sell-off implies
  • 吳偉鋒

    吳偉鋒

Indonesia's fiscal position is stronger than the recent sell-off implies. S&P puts general government debt at 40.9% of GDP in 2025, the third lowest of the 15 markets in the chart, and expects it to hold broadly steady at 40.3% in 2026 and 40.2% in 2027. That compares with a simple Asian average of 52.7% easing to 51.7%, and a major developed-market average of 106.0% rising to 107.6%. Japan, India, Malaysia and China all carry heavier debt loads.What rattled markets was an equity-market issue, not a fiscal one. On 15 October, MSCI proposed moving Indonesia from “Emerging Market“ to “Standalone Market“ status, citing opaque shareholding structures and suspected coordinated trading. Jakarta shares fell 11.6% in a single session, the steepest one-day drop since 1998. Indonesia government international bonds and sukuk, by contrast, barely flinched: five-year CDS widened from roughly 84–88bp in late September to around 100bp by 22 October, with part of that move predating MSCI's announcement and tracking higher US Treasury yields.Nothing has yet changed in Indonesia's index status. MSCI will consult until April 2027 and announce a final decision by 30 June 2027, leaving time for reform. Authorities have already moved, mandating a 15% minimum free float, requiring disclosure of 1% shareholdings and removing highly concentrated stocks from the JCI. Enforcement will decide the outcome, but if these measures stick, the episode could leave Indonesia with a more transparent and investable market than before.The Premia J.P. Morgan Asia Credit Investment Grade USD Bond ETF (3411 / 9411 HK) holds Indonesia as one exposure among many. The ETF spans 124 issuers across Asia ex-Japan, with Indonesia at roughly 15%: about 10% across Indonesian government bonds and sukuk, and 5% across quasi-sovereign and corporate names including Bank Mandiri, Freeport Indonesia, Indofood, Indonesia Asahan Aluminium, Minejesa Power, Pertamina and PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara - high-quality investment-grade issuers. 

Oct 28, 2026

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