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Premia 觀點洞察
Premia 觀點洞察
分享投資見解、洞察行業熱點、探討學術研究

精選觀點 & Webinar

Bull, bubble, bear – signposting the road
insightBull, bubble, bear – signposting the road

Little speculative manias are bubbling up to the surface in the US markets. But while financial instability is growing in the United States as a result of aggressive monetary expansion, a collapse in the equities market does not appear imminent given tame inflation and ultra-low rates and yields.

Feb 16, 2021

China: Set to overtake the US economy sooner than expected
insightChina: Set to overtake the US economy sooner than expected

The only major economy to grow in 2020. China has turned adversity from the COVID-19 pandemic into the best growth performance in the world for 2020.

Jan 27, 2021

Green economy
insightGreen economy

According to the United Nation Environment Programme, an inclusive green economy is an alternative to today's dominant economic model, which exacerbates inequalities, encourages waste, triggers resource scarcities, and generates widespread threats to the environment and human health.

Jan 22, 2021

US inflation expectations: Implications for global markets
insightUS inflation expectations: Implications for global markets

The US Federal Reserve pumps out an endless stream of zero interest rate money to finance the Government’s deficit spending. The handouts make most American workers better off financially during the pandemic than before. Meanwhile, the stock market soars. Not bad for the worst pandemic in 100 years. What can possibly go wrong?

Jan 20, 2021

尋找成長賽道:驅動生產力爆發的亞洲創新科技
insight尋找成長賽道:驅動生產力爆發的亞洲創新科技

我們觀察到資產配置模式在轉變:在傳統的地域或因子主導的基礎模式上需要注入更多對新舊產業區分及大趨勢發展的考量,從而在經濟結構性改變中捕捉到長期超額收益。

Jan 15, 2021

Look East
insightLook East

The red-hot performers of the past 12 months have been the broad market indices from North Asia – Kospi (44%), CSI 300 (34%), TWSE (30%)

Jan 12, 2021

常見主題——市場最新資訊和2021佈局
webinar常見主題——市場最新資訊和2021佈局

隨著COVID疫情走向復甦,中美摩擦等地域風險逐漸晴朗,2021投資者可以如何佈局? 我們的聯合首席投資官賴子健先生與我們團隊的郭子豪先生為大家分享對亞洲高成長地區及高成長行業的展望,「我們可以如何通過Premia的投資策略來捕捉這些大趨勢下的盈利機遇,並討論了對近期市場環境相關熱門話題的看法。

Jan 04, 2021

Pressing on from the unprecedented 2020: Outlook 2021 (Part 3 – ASEAN)
insightPressing on from the unprecedented 2020: Outlook 2021 (Part 3 – ASEAN)

Outperformer from first news of successful vaccines. Emerging ASEAN has been one of the best performers among major global equity indices since the start of November. And that was likely due to the region’s high economic leverage to normalisation after the distribution of COVID-19 vaccines and its high trend GDP growth rates relative to other Emerging Market economies.

Dec 24, 2020

Pressing on from the unprecedented 2020: Outlook 2021 (Part 2 – Global)
insightPressing on from the unprecedented 2020: Outlook 2021 (Part 2 – Global)

Global equities look likely to push higher in 2021, despite the pandemic’s economic and human toll.

Dec 23, 2020

Pressing on from the unprecedented 2020: Outlook 2021 (Part 1 – China)
insightPressing on from the unprecedented 2020: Outlook 2021 (Part 1 – China)

To summarize the year of 2020, the opening lines from Charles Dicken’s A Tale of twin cities sounds like an accurate description. It was certainly the best of times and the worst of times. Global equities have been doing reasonably well with developed market up by 12.0% and emerging market up by 11.7%. Fixed income managed to gain by 7.4% whilst gold price was up by 19.1%. On the other hand, real economy has been suffering from the pandemic with almost all major economies getting into recession. International Monetary Fund sees the world would contract by 4.4% in total output, the worst crisis since the 1930s Great Depression with -5.8% among advanced economies and -3.3% on developing countries.

Dec 02, 2020

Premia 圖說

China property credits after "828" – slower turnover, safer delivery, faster destocking
  • 吳偉鋒

    吳偉鋒

China property USD bonds have extended gains through the third quarter, with the Premia China USD Property Bond ETF (3001/9001 HK) up more than 20% year to date. On 28 August, Beijing announced the most significant overhaul of China's housing sales and financing framework in three decades. It works through four channels:Sales milestones reset. MOHURD, MNR and NFRA now require a building to be structurally topped out before presales can begin, with 100% of purchase funds — down payments and mortgage proceeds — held in supervised escrow until completion and delivery.Lead-bank oversight. Designated banks supervise project financing, escrow and construction progress end to end, and a homebuyer's mortgage is now issued only after the project is completed.Longer mortgage tenors. The PBOC lifted the maximum personal mortgage tenor from 30 to 40 years.Wider capital-market access. The CSRC broadened refinancing and M&A channels, alongside expanded REIT, CMBS and ABS support for income-producing assets.While the near-term read is negative for developers - replacing presale proceeds with borrowing implies higher leverage and more secured debt, which can subordinate existing senior claims - that argues for selection rather than avoidance. The Premia China USD Property Bond ETF (3001 / 9001 HK) holds secured and senior unsecured paper only, and excludes subordinated debt and LGFVs, favouring issuers with recurring rental income and the securitisation access the CSRC has just widened. Over the medium to long term, the reform should reduce the risk of another property-sector shock. Delivery risk moves off household prepayments and into bank-supervised project finance, lowering the odds of a repeat of the unfinished-project stress that drove the last default wave, while tighter new-home supply supports the clearing of existing inventory. Meanwhile, banks are being capitalised to carry that risk: Beijing announced a further RMB360bn (US$54bn) injection into eight state financial institutions on 6 September, of which RMB290bn (US$43.2bn) went to lenders. Brokers expect developer equities to stay soft unless policy surprises or sales data improve. Bonds answer a different question: not whether growth returns, but whether issuers keep paying. The ETF yields around 12.9% (as of Sep 8, 2026), well above the broader Asia high yield market - the extra income investors are paid for the risk that some issuers still restructure or default while the transition plays out.  

Sep 10, 2026

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