주요 인사이트 & 웨비나
As stocks around the world struggled in Q2 2022, China A shares produced a positive return, with the CSI 300 Index adding +6.2% for the quarter. This muted number nevertheless belies an action-packed three months, as investor sentiment toward mainland shares reached a low in April, with Shanghai and other major cities entering growth-stunting lockdowns amidst a rapid spread of COVID variants, only to recover sharply in May and June, as easing public health restrictions allowed Beijing to start ramping up a massive stimulus program intended to set the nation’s economy up for a strong second half leading into Q4’s National Congress. Here we offer some perspective on factor drivers in China’s market during the second quarter and comment on what might come next for Chinese stocks.
Aug 01, 2022
What will the next era of China’s economy look like? Invest in the leading companies driving China’s New Economy through the Premia CSI Caixin China New Economy ETF.
Jul 28, 2022
As the Developed Markets are weathering havoc from increasingly hawkish rate hike actions, ASEAN equities continue to retain relative calm and outperform DM as a regional expression of global value trade. While the trajectory for economic upgrades and earnings growth prospects remain intact, as DMs slide deeper into bear markets, some tweaking of the ASEAN trade – as a pure Emerging Market play – might achieve even better relative outperformance. In this article our Senior Advisor Say Boon Lim discussed drivers behind the outperformance of our Emerging ASEAN strategy against MSCI World Growth, and what investors with the flexibility for a spread trade might consider as the dynamics will likely remain in place for the rest of this year.
Jul 04, 2022
The American dilemma – recession by policy tightening or stagflation by policy avoidance. US GDP growth is running so low now that a recession is a very high probability event within 12 months as rates rise further. The drivers of that coming recession will be both inflation and higher rates: There can be many different variations of the balance between the pace of rate hikes and the pace of inflation. As US economic growth slows further in coming months, the US Federal Reserve will be tormented over the awful choice between the longer-term impact of inflation and the more immediate risk of recession. Yet in the end, if rate hikes do not crush US economic growth, inflation will eventually do the same, albeit with a greater lag. In this article, our Senior Advisor Say Boon Lim explains why bounces in US equities are likely to be “get out of jail” cards, with lower lows and lower highs the most likely outcome.
Jun 29, 2022
Chinese equities have been putting on breakouts above technical resistances just as Developed Markets are breaking down and US stocks have been collapsing into bear territory – and this does not seem coincidental. At opposite ends of the policy cycle. At the heart of this may be the policy tightening in the US, the looming consequent recession, and the search for alternatives to US assets – stocks, Treasuries and corporate credits. China’s recent commitments to fiscal and monetary stimulus are a welcome counterpoint to the falling monetary aggregates, surging rates and yields, and fiscal consolidation in the US. In this article, our Senior Advisor Say Boon Lim discussed the significance of onshore A-shares breaking above the technical resistance of 100-day moving average, as it has a tendency to be followed by quite substantial periods of gains.
Jun 17, 2022
It’s again time for annual rebalance of our Premia Asia Innovative Technology and Metaverse Theme ETF (3181 HK) as well as our China A-shares ETFs - Premia CSI Caixin China New Economy ETF (3173 HK), Premia CSI Caixin China Bedrock Economy ETF (2803 HK), Premia China STAR50 ETF (3151 HK). The rebalances were successfully completed on Jun 10th 2022, and in this article we highlight the changes made and also provide brief analyses comparing the profiles before and after the rebalance exercise.
Jun 16, 2022
Metaverse has rapidly become a buzzword in the recent year, with significant development in technologies, user base and content around the world. In fact, many of the related Metaverse themes have long been among the sub-sectors covered by the Premia FactSet Asia Innovative Technology Index that our namesake ETF tracks. With the FactSet RBICS technology, it is possible to overcome the constraints and sometimes mislabelling of traditional GICS sector definition, and identify the relevant themes at more granular level including for technology conglomerates with multi-disciplinary functions. As part of the ongoing review, the index was recently updated and renamed as Premia FactSet Asia Metaverse and Innovative Technology Index (AMIT) to better reflect the core elements and spirits of the strategy. In this article we discuss more about the rationales behind the update, and how the strategy captures the innovative technologies and metaverse related opportunities in Asia.
Jun 16, 2022
Q1 has been an eventful start for the year 2022 where the world has experienced economic turbulence, regional conflict and continued COVID impact. United States is facing record high inflation tackled with aggressive monetary policy on interest rate hike and balance sheet reduction. We have also seen regional conflicts causing supply chain disruption in certain field such as oil and gas. In China, although in a much better inflation environment, Covid outbreak since late Q1 in Shanghai and some other cities had caused some disruption to China A share market.
May 13, 2022
Most asset classes did not perform well so far this year amid the rising interest rate environment and the Ukraine-Russia conflict, e.g., -12.8% in developed market equities, -10.1% in emerging market equities, -4.0% in global bonds, -29.1% in cryptocurrencies. The only exception was commodity, which went up over 32% year-to-date. Crude oil prices keep getting higher with no sign of a pullback in near-term, leading to a mounting inflation pressure to the global economic recovery. Investors are now thinking hard to reallocate their assets and shift away from the risky exposure. Riding the commodity rally by increasing the position in oil or gold may be one of the options, but the usual high volatility and negative carry are always the obstacles for placing any significant bets.
Mar 16, 2022
2021 has been a challenging year for many, with significant divergence within the Chinese equities universe and frequent growth/ value factor rotations through each quarter. We had also experienced regulatory and policy headwind and tailwind that drove significant market movements. Since the end of 2021, China’s equity market has experienced correction which has brought valuation back to attractive level. Both our Premia CSI Caixin China New Economy ETF (3173 HK) and Premia China Bedrock Economy ETF (2803 HK) continue to provide effective diversification tools to global investors and we illustrate a 50/50 blended portfolio that would outperform the broader market and its peers consistently.
Mar 02, 2022
토픽별
주간 차트
David Lai , CFA
CFA
China A-share market has become increasingly polarized, as earnings momentum and growth expectations drove investor flows. While the Information Technology sector has surged 31.9% year-to-date, Consumer Staples have declined 13.8%, illustrating a clear market preference for growth-oriented industries over traditional defensives. The strength of the technology sector is often attributed to the global enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence and semiconductor demand, alongside Beijing’s continued support for domestic innovation and import substitution in critical technologies. However, the rally is far from being purely sentiment driven. Corporate fundamentals have provided substantial support. In the first quarter of 2026, Information Technology companies delivered earnings growth of 68.0% year-on-year, second only to Materials at 74.8%. In contrast, Consumer Staples reported a 15.4% earnings decline, reflecting weaker operating momentum. The earnings divergence has also been reinforced by analyst revisions, with full-year profit estimates for Information Technology revised upward by 7.4%, while Consumer Staples experienced a sharp 19.3% downgrade. Looking ahead, earnings growth is expected to remain concentrated in a handful of high-growth sectors. Consensus forecasts point to full-year 2026 earnings growth of 72.0% for Materials, 70.6% for Information Technology, 33.7% for Industrials, and 30.8% for Healthcare, while Utilities, Financials and Consumer Staples are expected to lag. For investors seeking exposure to China’s structural growth themes, the Premia China STAR50 ETF and Premia China New Economy ETF offer targeted access to innovative and high-growth segments of the market, both of which have outperformed the broader A-share market year-to-date.
Jun 15, 2026
