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프리미아 인사이트

프리미아 인사이트

산업 및 투자업계를 뒤흔드는 동향 & 이슈에 대한 견해

주요 인사이트 & 웨비나

What China’s “import ban” on Aussie coal says about the rapidly changing energy landscape
insightWhat China’s “import ban” on Aussie coal says about the rapidly changing energy landscape

Two separate news items last week focused our attention on the gap in understanding about the rapidly changing energy landscape in China.

Oct 19, 2020

US Fiscal Explosion and Yield Curve Steepening
insightUS Fiscal Explosion and Yield Curve Steepening

Yield curve steepening – which has been accelerating in recent weeks as the market contemplates a whopper of a stimulus package under a possible Biden White House – is likely to continue regardless of the winner on November 3.

Oct 13, 2020

Frequent Topics – COVID, US China tension, Tech sector rally, Asia megatrends and more
webinarFrequent Topics – COVID, US China tension, Tech sector rally, Asia megatrends and more

Since COVID we have observed that many constituents in our Premia ETFs have been silver lining beneficiaries and continue rallying notwithstanding the market volatilities, unfolding COVID situation and US China tension. Here we share the conversation with our Co-CIO David Lai and team, on some frequent topics that come up often in our client conversations, especially around China new economy ETF (3173/ 9173 HK), which registered strong YTD return* of ~40% and have become the 4th largest A shares ETF in Hong Kong as consistent inflows since April tripled its AUM to ~US$285 million.Please click here for transcript to the disscussion.*as of October 12th 2020

Oct 13, 2020

China – the first post-pandemic, “normalized economy”
insightChina – the first post-pandemic, “normalized economy”

The Chinese economy continues to normalize across the board at an impressive rate, leading to the strong likelihood of it beating the current Bloomberg consensus GDP estimate growth rate of around 2% for 2020.

Oct 05, 2020

Rethinking China and Emerging Markets
insightRethinking China and Emerging Markets

The COVID-19 pandemic could accelerate new thinking about Emerging Markets in asset allocations.

Sep 22, 2020

Quick recovery on China corporate earnings
insightQuick recovery on China corporate earnings

China economy recovered faster than the rest of the world from the pandemic as shown by various economic indicators ranging from official PMI, GDP number, steel output, excavator sales, to traffic data. China’s solid macro recovery stands out from the rest of the major economies which either remain in a lock-down mode or simply begin to resume economic activities. That explains Chinese listed companies outperformed in terms of earnings and stock price performance.

Sep 09, 2020

US Dollar - an Untrustworthy Rebound
insightUS Dollar - an Untrustworthy Rebound

An overdue technical rebound in the US Dollar – which started a week ago – may give investors an opportunity to diversify their currency holdings away from the Greenback. What is emerging could well turn out to be a counter-trend rally in a bigger, multi-year Dollar decline.

Sep 08, 2020

China New Economy and Tech – thriving amidst trade war
insightChina New Economy and Tech – thriving amidst trade war

CSI 300 outperforms S&P 500, Chinese tech outruns Nasdaq 100. How has China’s new economy sectors including its recently launched “Nasdaq” – the STAR board (Shanghai Stock Exchange’s Science and Technology Innovation Board) – outperformed global indices despite being at the center of a trade-tech war with the United States?

Aug 31, 2020

Messages from the China-US government bond yield spread
insightMessages from the China-US government bond yield spread

Highest recorded yield spread between the China 10Y Government Bond and the 10Y UST. The yield spread between the China 10-year government bond over the 10-year US Treasury recently hit its widest ever recorded level.

Aug 24, 2020

주간 차트

Indonesia's fiscal position is stronger than the recent sell-off implies
  • Michael Ng

    Michael Ng

Indonesia's fiscal position is stronger than the recent sell-off implies. S&P puts general government debt at 40.9% of GDP in 2025, the third lowest of the 15 markets in the chart, and expects it to hold broadly steady at 40.3% in 2026 and 40.2% in 2027. That compares with a simple Asian average of 52.7% easing to 51.7%, and a major developed-market average of 106.0% rising to 107.6%. Japan, India, Malaysia and China all carry heavier debt loads.What rattled markets was an equity-market issue, not a fiscal one. On 15 October, MSCI proposed moving Indonesia from “Emerging Market“ to “Standalone Market“ status, citing opaque shareholding structures and suspected coordinated trading. Jakarta shares fell 11.6% in a single session, the steepest one-day drop since 1998. Indonesia government international bonds and sukuk, by contrast, barely flinched: five-year CDS widened from roughly 84–88bp in late September to around 100bp by 22 October, with part of that move predating MSCI's announcement and tracking higher US Treasury yields.Nothing has yet changed in Indonesia's index status. MSCI will consult until April 2027 and announce a final decision by 30 June 2027, leaving time for reform. Authorities have already moved, mandating a 15% minimum free float, requiring disclosure of 1% shareholdings and removing highly concentrated stocks from the JCI. Enforcement will decide the outcome, but if these measures stick, the episode could leave Indonesia with a more transparent and investable market than before.The Premia J.P. Morgan Asia Credit Investment Grade USD Bond ETF (3411 / 9411 HK) holds Indonesia as one exposure among many. The ETF spans 124 issuers across Asia ex-Japan, with Indonesia at roughly 15%: about 10% across Indonesian government bonds and sukuk, and 5% across quasi-sovereign and corporate names including Bank Mandiri, Freeport Indonesia, Indofood, Indonesia Asahan Aluminium, Minejesa Power, Pertamina and PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara - high-quality investment-grade issuers. 

Oct 28, 2026

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