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프리미아 인사이트

프리미아 인사이트

산업 및 투자업계를 뒤흔드는 동향 & 이슈에 대한 견해

주요 인사이트 & 웨비나

US-China Policy Divergence Sets the Scene for Long-term Chinese Asset Outperformance
insightUS-China Policy Divergence Sets the Scene for Long-term Chinese Asset Outperformance

Economic policy settings between the United States and China – which have been diverging since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic – are now on stark display as a result of the recent outcomes of the annual plenary session of the National People’s Congress.

Mar 17, 2021

The Great Divergence between China and other Emerging Market economies
insightThe Great Divergence between China and other Emerging Market economies

The great divergence between economic growth in China versus the rest of the Emerging Markets post-COVID-19 has increased the likelihood of a parting of ways between China and EM in asset allocations.

Mar 08, 2021

China: Signals from the investment surge
insightChina: Signals from the investment surge

US sanctions on trade, technology, and financial market access have done little to dampen foreign investor enthusiasm for China. There has been a surge in foreign investment flows, both portfolio and direct, into China over the course of 2020: All of which begs the questions “why” and “how sustainable is this”?

Feb 24, 2021

Bull, bubble, bear – signposting the road
insightBull, bubble, bear – signposting the road

Little speculative manias are bubbling up to the surface in the US markets. But while financial instability is growing in the United States as a result of aggressive monetary expansion, a collapse in the equities market does not appear imminent given tame inflation and ultra-low rates and yields.

Feb 15, 2021

China: Set to overtake the US economy sooner than expected
insightChina: Set to overtake the US economy sooner than expected

The only major economy to grow in 2020. China has turned adversity from the COVID-19 pandemic into the best growth performance in the world for 2020.

Jan 26, 2021

Green economy
insightGreen economy

According to the United Nation Environment Programme, an inclusive green economy is an alternative to today's dominant economic model, which exacerbates inequalities, encourages waste, triggers resource scarcities, and generates widespread threats to the environment and human health.

Jan 21, 2021

US inflation expectations: Implications for global markets
insightUS inflation expectations: Implications for global markets

The US Federal Reserve pumps out an endless stream of zero interest rate money to finance the Government’s deficit spending. The handouts make most American workers better off financially during the pandemic than before. Meanwhile, the stock market soars. Not bad for the worst pandemic in 100 years. What can possibly go wrong?

Jan 19, 2021

Where to find growth: Tailwinds from Asia Megatrends, and Playbook to participate in Asia Innovations and Technology-enabled Productivity Growth
insightWhere to find growth: Tailwinds from Asia Megatrends, and Playbook to participate in Asia Innovations and Technology-enabled Productivity Growth

We see the need to evolve from conventional geography centric or factor-based asset allocation models to sector and megatrend-minded models to capture secular alpha from structural changes.

Jan 12, 2021

Look East
insightLook East

The red-hot performers of the past 12 months have been the broad market indices from North Asia – Kospi (44%), CSI 300 (34%), TWSE (30%)

Jan 11, 2021

Frequent topics in our discussions - on COVID, US China tension, position for 2021 and more
webinarFrequent topics in our discussions - on COVID, US China tension, position for 2021 and more

2021년을 맞이하는 시작하는 시점에서, 그리고 여전히 코로나 바이러스와 저금리가 지속되는 상황 속에서, 저희는 아시아 지역의 성장을 바라보고 있습니다.거대한 중국 그리고 한국, 일본, 대만 등 글로벌 기술 경쟁력을 갖춘 국가들과 베트남에 이르기까지, 시장 전망과 함께 프리미아가 준비한 메가트렌드 기반 ETF 투자전략을 꼭 한 번 만나보시기 바라겠습니다. (웹세미나,  20분 이내)

Jan 03, 2021

주간 차트

Indonesia's fiscal position is stronger than the recent sell-off implies
  • Michael Ng

    Michael Ng

Indonesia's fiscal position is stronger than the recent sell-off implies. S&P puts general government debt at 40.9% of GDP in 2025, the third lowest of the 15 markets in the chart, and expects it to hold broadly steady at 40.3% in 2026 and 40.2% in 2027. That compares with a simple Asian average of 52.7% easing to 51.7%, and a major developed-market average of 106.0% rising to 107.6%. Japan, India, Malaysia and China all carry heavier debt loads.What rattled markets was an equity-market issue, not a fiscal one. On 15 October, MSCI proposed moving Indonesia from “Emerging Market“ to “Standalone Market“ status, citing opaque shareholding structures and suspected coordinated trading. Jakarta shares fell 11.6% in a single session, the steepest one-day drop since 1998. Indonesia government international bonds and sukuk, by contrast, barely flinched: five-year CDS widened from roughly 84–88bp in late September to around 100bp by 22 October, with part of that move predating MSCI's announcement and tracking higher US Treasury yields.Nothing has yet changed in Indonesia's index status. MSCI will consult until April 2027 and announce a final decision by 30 June 2027, leaving time for reform. Authorities have already moved, mandating a 15% minimum free float, requiring disclosure of 1% shareholdings and removing highly concentrated stocks from the JCI. Enforcement will decide the outcome, but if these measures stick, the episode could leave Indonesia with a more transparent and investable market than before.The Premia J.P. Morgan Asia Credit Investment Grade USD Bond ETF (3411 / 9411 HK) holds Indonesia as one exposure among many. The ETF spans 124 issuers across Asia ex-Japan, with Indonesia at roughly 15%: about 10% across Indonesian government bonds and sukuk, and 5% across quasi-sovereign and corporate names including Bank Mandiri, Freeport Indonesia, Indofood, Indonesia Asahan Aluminium, Minejesa Power, Pertamina and PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara - high-quality investment-grade issuers. 

Oct 28, 2026

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